Thursday, September 22, 2005

COM: Blogarithmic #36

It's been a day of cleaning up after Hurricane Tangled Bank, posting the new edition of blogarithmicly, watching Hurricane Rita (we have two families who evacuated here to our place), and trying to prep for a dozen things coming up in the next couple of weeks.

I'll be assembling the music for the Ingram Tom Moore Thespians' production of Vanities, and was supposed to meet with them the last two nights to get some ideas -- last night was quelled by emergency last minute work on the yearbook (aaaaahhhhh!) and tonight i went to the rehearsal only to find the door locked and no one answering. So that will have to wait a couple days . . .

Rita changed some other things as well . . . football . . . Tivy, Ingram, Comfort and A&M all rescheduled their games to tonight. Then at midday, Ingram cancelled their game with LaVernia altogether. As an old coach i know this -- two full weeks without playing a game is not good, and the Warriors were off last week. Highland Park had the week off anyway.

Update/Scores: Tivy avenged two losses last season to Pflugerville Connally with a 36-34 win.

Reggie McNeal threw for 317 yards and two touchdowns, and Texas A&M beat
Texas State 44-31 in a stadium rendered unusually bare and an area choked with
evacuating traffic as Hurricane Rita crept closer on Thursday night. . .

College football fans have rewarded Texas A&M senior quarterback Reggie McNeal for his record-setting day in the Aggies’ win over SMU – naming him as the Cingular Wireless/ABC Sports All-America Player of the Week. McNeal staked his claim to the award - the only major college football accolade determined exclusively by fan voting - by establishing a school-record with 449 total yards and six touchdowns in his team’s 66-8 win over the Mustangs.

I'm still waiting for the Ags to play someone besides these oversized high school teams.

William is doing well, although he's having to wait in line behind a bunch of senior receivers, a couple of which are piling up stats. Taylor wrote today that he was thinking of going to Dallas to get away from Hurricane Rita for a few days, but that the storm has veered away enough that they feel safe in Sugar Land.

Early a.m. update time and the Eastern Screech-Owls are singing. I don't know how many wnet over, but one Canada Goose was pretty vocal a few minutes ago.

Mike Quinn posted today a link to a new NABA pub -- the common names of all 1709 Mexican Butterflies (minus a few undescribed species). This will be helpful although it is certain to raise a huge ruckus among the lepidopterers.

Here's some great links from the last few days -- ones i haven't been able to get posted -- so much of this is brief. The links will take you to cool and/or educational places though.

Thanks as always to Will at Clicked . . . he sure gave us a nice plug yesterday for The Tangled Bank . . . and Will, we’re fine here, thanks for the thoughts . . .

Some excerpts from Jeff Masters' Blog at Weather Undergound
Rita's eyewall replacement cycle is almost complete, and we may see some slight strengthening Friday morning. By Friday evening, slight to moderate weakening may occur until landfall Saturday. This will occur as a result of 10 knots of shear on her south side from an upper-level high pressure system, and from passage over ocean waters with less heat content. By landfall
time on Saturday afternoon, I still expect that Rita will be a Category 3 or 4 hurricane, but still carry to the coast a storm surge characteristic of a much stronger hurricane. A Category 4 or 5 level storm surge is likely along a 40 - 60 miles stretch of coast to the right of where the storm makes landfall on Saturday. Storm surge heights will peak at 15 - 20 feet in some bays, and bring the ocean inland up to 50 miles from the coast. Large sections of I-10 between Houston and Beaumont could be inundated, and the flood waters may reach the cities of Beaumont, Orange, and Lake Charles.


. . .

NOAA buoy 42001 in Rita's western eyewall measured sustained winds of 90 mph, gusting to 112 mph, and 34 foot waves at 2:50 pm CDT. A time series plot of the wind and pressure from buoy 42001 is worth checking out. Winds are starting to fall now as Rita moves away. The buoy did not quite make it into the eye of the strongest part of the eyewall.

. . .

The 18Z (2pm EDT) computer models are more tightly clustered than before, focusing on a point just west of the Texas/Louisiana border. It is still too early to tell what will happen after landfall, as the models all take Rita different ways. It is heartening to see that the GFS model is no longer
taking Rita back out to sea and hitting Brownsville! Regardless, it appears that a major rainwater flooding disaster will ensue after Rita's landfall, with 10 - 30 inches of rain falling over a large area.


. . .

We continue to live history as this incredible Hurricane Season of 2005 unfolds more stunning surprises. Rita has peaked in intensity as the third strongest hurricane of all time, with a pressure of 897 mb and 175 mph winds. She is on the decline now, as the 11am hurricane hunter mission found a pressure of 913 mb, and increase of 5 mb in just 3 hours.

. . .

The latest runs of two key computer models, the GFS and GFDL, now indicate that the trough of low pressure that was expected to pick up Rita and pull her rapidly northward through Texas will not be strong enough to do so. Instead, these models forecast that Rita will make landfall near Galveston, penetrate inland between 50 and 200 miles, then slowly drift southwestward for
nearly two days . . .






For a while there i was keeping abreast of the Valeria Plame deal, but that got pushed aside with all the other SCOTUS and disasters etc. But Arianna Huffington has kept up and has disturbing, if a bit unsurprising new info. If you don't know what this is about, this is not the post to catch up -- Google it and get a background . . .

The Handbook for Bloggers and Cyber-Dissidents -- a preview

Darfur descending into anarchy . . .

Wanna discuss The Patriot Act?

I saw a blogger suggest that, with the $200 billion asked for for Katrina relief, each of the million victims be given $200,000 rather than dole out the money to a bunch of lucky vendors who'll skim the bulk for their own greed before doing any real service. We know this -- greed always trumps charity. So, even after the impracticality of the suggestion sets in, one wonders what a million people with enough money to buy a small house and set up a small business might actually be able to do . . . something good i suspect. Anyway, a story like this one makes it seem even more doable (right after we completely dismantle FEMA and put Pewee Herman in charge). Then carefully read this other story on the same incident -- pay careful note of the meteorologically challenged spokesman . . .

An interesting, and civil, parley on beliefs/non-beliefs. Don't go there looking for a brawl . . . please . . .

And something from the other side?

We followed Zach and his Love in Action story for a while, at least until he asked that things be left alone via his blog. But Peterson Toscano (a commenter on milkriverblog about this very topic) persisted in exposing the unministry and was partially responsible for an agency-directed shutdown of the facility. Here a news story about the order.

So you'd like to attend Kim Jong-Il's birthday party? 100,000 people will dance, after which . . .

After appreciating the performance, people do not stint their
praise, saying that it makes them feel national pride.

. . . according to the invitation. Be sure to clap . . . or you may not come home.

Beedogs does not qualify for The Circus of the Spineless. Still . . .

and finally, Scotland? Say it ain't so . . .





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